Preview: Second take on third as Arsenal host Newcastle

4 Min Read

By Matt Smith


Eddie Howe’s side could be going into this one with confidence, having beaten Arsenal three times already this campaign. Newcastle beat them in the Premier League earlier in the season, while they also won 2-0 in both legs of their Carabao Cup semi-final tie.

Team news

Mikel Arteta recently confirmed that Kai Havertz has a chance of returning to the squad after a long injury lay-off, with medical staff and the German international to decide whether he’s available. Arteta was more cautious on Leandro Trossard, Declan Rice, Jurrien Timber, and Gabriel Martinelli

Newcastle could be without Sven Botman this weekend, but Howe has confirmed that he does have a chance of featuring. Kieran Trippier and Joelinton won’t be available for the away side. 

Arsenal, the draw specialist

There’s no doubt the Gunners have been difficult to beat this season, losing just four Premier League games, one more than the champions Liverpool. However, only Everton (15) have drawn more times than Arsenal (14) this season, and that’s undoubtedly been the difference between them and Arne Slot’s side.

Being defensively sound hasn’t been enough for the Gunners, who have struggled to create chances compared to their competitors. Arsenal have produced just 58.6 xG this term, fewer than five Premier League sides.

Newcastle are deadly in attack

Having a striker like Alexander Isak is undoubtedly the dream for the majority of clubs in Europe, with the Swedish centre-forward providing 29 goals and assists combined in England’s top flight.

The Magpies have scored 1.9 goals per game this season, with only Liverpool averaging more, and it’s a key reason why they are pushing Arsenal all the way to finish second. Newcastle have been on a sensational run in the second half of the campaign, losing just once in the Premier League since 26th February.

Murphy the unlikely hero

The likes of Isak and Anthony Gordon take a lot of the credit for Newcastle’s attacking prowess, but Jacob Murphy has stepped up immensely this season. At the age of 30, Murphy is enjoying his best season of his Premier League career, racking up 20 goals and assists combined. 

His form has meant that even when Gordon and Harvey Barnes are both fit, Howe has found a way to fit him in the side. The versatile forward was even deployed as a right wing-back in Newcastle’s previous game, and it will be interesting to see where he plays against the Gunners. 

Murphy’s passing stats, Premier League 2024/25

Prediction

Arsenal have struggled in recent weeks with little on the line, but the pressure is ramping up with Newcastle able to climb above them this weekend. We’re going for a 1-1 draw at the Emirates Stadium. 


(Cover image from IMAGO)


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